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Hope for a Trade Deal between Ecuador and the United States Despite Tariffs: Challenges are on the Path

Hope for a Trade Deal between Ecuador and the United States Despite Tariffs: Challenges are on the Path

At a time when trade agreements are vital for countries’ economic health and long-term growth, Ecuador is at a crossroads. The recent breakdown in efforts to reach a comprehensive trade agreement with the European Union represents more than just a diplomatic failure; it poses profound implications for the country’s future economic development and integration into the global marketplace. As other regional nations advance their trade agendas, Ecuador reevaluates its strategy. It explores new partnerships, including the hope for a trade deal between Ecuador and the United States, which could become a key lifeline amid these uncertainties.

Current Context in Ecuador and the Need for Trade Agreements

Ecuador’s economy has long been characterized by profound structural challenges and persistent external shocks that have hindered consistent growth as a nation highly reliant on exporting primary commodities such as bananas, oil, seafood, and flowers. Ecuador is particularly vulnerable to fluctuations in global demand and prices. This dependence highlights the importance of trade agreements, which provide a strategic means to diversify exports, mitigate market volatility, and open new pathways for foreign direct investment and technological development.

With limited internal demand and a modest industrial base, Ecuador views trade deals as essential to expand its economic reach. Establishing reliable access to major international markets supports traditional industries and incentivizes the development of new sectors, such as technology, value-added agriculture, and clean energy. The failure to secure a pact with the European Union has prompted an urgency to identify and secure alternative agreements that mitigate risk and reignite investor confidence.

Internal and External Challenges Facing Ecuador

Several internal and external factors continue to pose significant obstacles to Ecuador’s progress on the international trade front:

Political Instability:

Frequent political turnover, abrupt policy changes, and ongoing governance challenges have eroded investor trust and complicated long-term planning. The lack of institutional continuity affects Ecuador’s credibility in negotiations and its ability to fulfill international commitments.

Adverse Economic Conditions:

Rising inflation, a persistent informal labor market, and growing public debt have constrained Ecuador’s fiscal capacity, limiting its ability to implement policies that support business development and infrastructure upgrades.

Lagging Behind Competitors:

While countries like Chile, Colombia, and Peru have made significant strides in signing trade agreements with global partners, Ecuador remains disadvantaged. Without the same preferential access, Ecuadorian products must compete under less-favorable terms, reducing their competitiveness abroad.

Why Is a Trade Agreement with the European Union Crucial?

A trade agreement with the European Union would have offered Ecuador preferential access to one of the world’s largest and most stable consumer markets. Such a pact could have yielded numerous long-term benefits:

  • Boosting Exports: By eliminating or reducing tariffs and non-tariff barriers, Ecuadorian goods could have entered the European market at more competitive prices, potentially increasing export volumes and creating jobs in export-oriented sectors.
  • Attracting Foreign Investment: Trade agreements often signal stability and openness. With EU protections and standards, European investors would be more inclined to channel capital into Ecuadorian industries.
  • Encouraging Technology Transfer: Deepening commercial ties with European firms can promote knowledge sharing and the transfer of cutting-edge technologies, helping local industries modernize and enhance productivity.

Obstacles in the Negotiations

Despite the clear advantages, negotiations between Ecuador and the EU have stalled over labor standards, environmental regulations, and agricultural subsidies. The Ecuadorian government has argued that the European bloc’s demands were too restrictive and failed to consider Ecuador’s development status and economic realities.

Additionally, internal divisions have hindered the development of a unified national strategy. Without a strong domestic political consensus, Ecuador has struggled to present a coherent position in negotiations or implement the structural reforms such agreements often necessitate. These factors have contributed to a climate of uncertainty, discouraging domestic and foreign investment.

Impact on Ecuador’s Business Fabric

The consequences of this uncertainty extend beyond high-level politics—they are felt throughout the business community, particularly among small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs) that are most dependent on clear and stable export channels.

Lack of Confidence in the Business Environment:

When trade policy is unpredictable, businesses tend to delay investment and expansion. This risk-averse posture stifles innovation and job creation.

Rising Operational Costs:

Without trade preferences, exporters must pay higher tariffs and face stricter regulations, which erode their profit margins and undermine their global competitiveness.

Limited Global Exposure:

When trade deals are not finalized, SMEs, in particular, miss valuable opportunities to access new markets, establish international partnerships, and expand their operations.

What Alternatives Does Ecuador Have?

Given the current diplomatic stalemate with the European Union, Ecuador must chart a new path forward to secure its place in the global economy. Several strategies offer promising alternatives:

Strengthening Regional Integration:

Ecuador can deepen its ties with other Latin American economies through regional trade blocs like the Pacific Alliance or Mercosur. This would create larger internal markets and improve bargaining power in future global trade talks.

Pursuing a Trade Deal between Ecuador and the United States:

The United States remains one of Ecuador’s top trading partners. Reviving and expanding efforts to secure a comprehensive trade deal between Ecuador and the United States could yield immediate and long-term benefits. Such a deal could provide tariff-free access for Ecuadorian exports, attract U.S. investment, and create closer cooperation in technology, infrastructure, and services. It would also complement Ecuador’s dollarized economy and trade ties with North America.

Product and Market Diversification:

By investing in product innovation and enhancing quality standards, Ecuador can become more competitive across a broader range of markets, including Asia and the Middle East, where demand for agricultural and sustainable products is increasing.

Enhancing Domestic Competitiveness:

Efforts to reduce bureaucracy, improve logistics infrastructure, and support education and workforce development can enhance Ecuador’s appeal as a business and trade partner, regardless of formal agreements.

Looking Ahead

While setbacks present undeniable challenges, they also provide a critical opportunity for reflection and recalibration. Ecuador must harness its national resilience, entrepreneurial spirit, and natural resource base to navigate a more complex global trade landscape.

A forward-looking strategy will require collaboration across government, the private sector, and civil society. By creating a transparent and stable business environment, Ecuador can position itself to seize new opportunities and avoid being left behind in a rapidly evolving global economy.

Conclusion

Ecuador’s experience illustrates the high stakes involved in global trade negotiations. The collapse of talks with the European Union represents a setback—but not a defeat. It reminds us that while international trade deals can serve as powerful catalysts for growth, they also require robust domestic institutions and a unified national vision.

Whether through a trade deal between Ecuador and the United States, deeper Latin American integration, or sectoral innovation, Ecuador has multiple paths to rebuild momentum. By remaining proactive and adaptable, the country can turn current challenges into stepping stones toward a more resilient and prosperous future.

Guatemala as a Business Hub: Opportunities for Entrepreneurs in Central America

Guatemala as a Business Hub: Opportunities for Entrepreneurs in Central America

Guatemala has emerged as one of the most dynamic economies in Central America, offering a favorable environment for investment and entrepreneurship. The country’s strategic location, macroeconomic stability, and investor-friendly legislation have positioned it as a regional leader. This has naturally paved the way for entrepreneurs seeking to establish or expand operations in a region replete with opportunity. Today, we explore how Guatemala attracts local and international investors and why it is recognized as a promising business environment. In many discussions on economic development, the narrative often revolves around Guatemala as a business hub that is both accessible and economically resilient.

Economic Stability that Drives Investment

Economic stability is one of Guatemala’s most compelling assets. An article published by Prensa Libre on January 2, 2025, highlighted that the Guatemalan economy closed 2024 with a growth rate of 3.7%. This growth surpassed initial projections and signified a robust recovery that continues to build a solid foundation for new business ventures. Stability in key economic indicators, such as inflation control, currency stability, and prudent fiscal management, reassures investors wary of volatile markets. This level of economic health is critical for long-term planning, and it provides a safety net that is particularly attractive to those venturing into emerging markets.

Moreover, the government has continuously enhanced the regulatory framework to ensure the business environment remains predictable and transparent. These efforts are instrumental in boosting investor confidence. For many entrepreneurs, especially those seeking new markets in Central America, the economic environment in Guatemala represents a well-balanced mix of growth potential and minimized risk. This combination reinforces Guatemala’s perception as a regional business hub.

Incentives for Foreign Investment

Guatemala has crafted a legal and fiscal environment that encourages foreign investment. Laws such as the Free Zones Law (Decree 65-89) and the Law for the Promotion and Development of Export and Maquila Activities (Decree 29-89) have been central to this approach. These regulations are designed to offer significant tax benefits, streamlined administrative processes, and incentives that simplify the establishment of business operations for both domestic and foreign investors.

The Free Zones Law, for example, provides a framework that enables businesses to operate with reduced tariffs, lower tax rates, and a more efficient regulatory process. These advantages lower the barrier to entry for companies that wish to test the waters in a growing market. Furthermore, the Export and Maquila Law supports companies engaged in manufacturing for export, offering mechanisms that reduce operational costs and improve competitiveness on the international stage. This legal landscape attracts investment and significantly reinforces Guatemala’s reputation as a business hub that welcomes and nurtures entrepreneurial spirit.

High-Potential Sectors

A major draw for investors is the diverse array of sectors with considerable growth potential. Agribusiness has long been a pillar of Guatemala’s economy, utilizing the country’s abundant natural resources and favorable climate to produce high-quality agricultural products. This sector continues to evolve by integrating modern technology and sustainable practices, making it an ideal area for innovative entrepreneurs.

Renewable energy is another sector that is quickly gaining traction. As global trends shift toward sustainability, Guatemala’s focus on harnessing renewable resources presents substantial long-term benefits. Investments in solar, wind, and hydropower projects are already underway, and these initiatives promise not only environmental benefits but also substantial returns for investors. Meanwhile, the technology and software development sector is thriving, buoyed by a growing ecosystem of startups and tech companies creating digital solutions for local and international markets.

Tourism, too, plays a pivotal role. Guatemala’s rich cultural heritage and diverse natural landscapes have positioned the country as an attractive destination for travelers. Investments in this sector enhance the tourism experience and contribute to the local economy by creating jobs and stimulating additional business opportunities. As these various sectors grow and diversify, they collectively contribute to Guatemala’s reputation as a business hub supporting multiple industries and entrepreneurial ventures.

Intellectual Property as a Strategic Asset

Protecting intellectual property (IP) is critical in any business expansion strategy. In Guatemala, the legal framework for IP is well-developed, ensuring that entrepreneurs and established companies can secure their intangible assets. Trademark registration, for instance, provides exclusive rights over distinctive signs and is essential for establishing a robust commercial identity. Whether a business is venturing into local markets or aiming for regional expansion, safeguarding intellectual property is crucial in maintaining a competitive advantage.

The legal system in Guatemala also encompasses other forms of intellectual property protection, including patents, industrial designs, and copyrights. This comprehensive approach is particularly significant in an era of digital transformation, where innovation is both rapid and indispensable. Recent advancements, such as using artificial intelligence to automate legal queries and streamline IP management, further strengthen this framework. Entrepreneurs who leverage these legal protections can establish their brands and technologies with greater confidence, ultimately reinforcing the broader narrative of Guatemala as a hub for innovation and creativity.

Expanding Opportunities and Future Prospects

Looking ahead, the prospects for entrepreneurs in Guatemala are bright. The combination of economic stability, investment-friendly policies, and a diversified range of high-potential sectors sets the stage for continued growth. The government’s commitment to further enhancing the business environment through legislative reforms and infrastructural investments is expected to yield even more significant benefits in the coming years.

The current economic landscape presents unique opportunities for growth and expansion for new investors and established businesses. By tapping into emerging sectors such as renewable energy, digital innovation, and sustainable tourism, entrepreneurs can diversify their portfolios and contribute to the region’s overall development. This multifaceted approach to growth highlights the country’s unique advantages and solidifies its status as a regionally significant player. Ultimately, these factors combine to portray Guatemala as a business hub poised for a promising future.

In conclusion, Guatemala’s evolution as a key economic player in Central America is driven by robust economic performance, favorable investment policies, and a dynamic range of high-potential sectors. Its strategic initiatives in enhancing the legal framework—especially in intellectual property—further secure its position as an attractive destination for entrepreneurs. Whether through modernizing traditional industries like agribusiness or fostering innovation in technology and renewable energy, Guatemala offers many opportunities for those looking to make their mark. As more investors recognize the country’s potential, the reputation of Guatemala as a business hub continues to grow, paving the way for a future filled with sustainable growth and entrepreneurial success.

A discussion about the economy of the Dominican Republic with Marcial Smester of ProDominicana

A discussion about the economy of the Dominican Republic with Marcial Smester of ProDominicana

Marcial Smester
Investment Director
ProDominicana
marcialsmester@prodominicana.gob.do

LATAM FDI: Welcome to the LATAM FDI podcast. These recordings speak to individuals with expertise in foreign direct investment in Latin America. Today, Marcial Smester is with us. He’s the investment director at ProDominicana, located in Santo Domingo, Dominican Republic. How are you today, Marcial?

Marcial Smester: Hello, Steve. Good afternoon. How are you, my friend? I’m good. Everything is good down here. It’s very sunny, a little bit warm, but good.

LATAM FDI: That sounds very appealing to many people in the United States and other regions listening to this podcast. Today, though, we want to learn a little bit about what’s going on in the Dominican Republic. And we would like you to tell us a bit about yourself and your organization.

Marcial Smester: Of course, sure. Well, my name, as you mentioned, is Marshall Smester. I am the Director of Investment for the Export and Investment Center of the Dominican Republic, known as ProDominicana. This is the Investment Promotion Agency of the Dominican Republic Government. We are responsible for promoting the Dominican Republic in international markets to attract foreign direct investment and position all products in these markets, whether goods or services. I oversee the investment aspect of our operations here in ProDominicana.

LATAM FDI: Can you outline some of the key economic advantages the Dominican Republic offers to make it an attractive destination for foreign direct investment?

Marcial Smester: Of course. First and foremost, we have been, if not the most, at least one of the most stable economies in our region. When I refer to our region, it extends beyond our specific area in Central America and the Caribbean, encompassing all of Latin America and the Caribbean. The Dominican Republic, for example, became the seventh-largest economy in Latin America and the Caribbean last year, alongside Mexico, Brazil, Argentina, and other more prominent countries. And we just became the seventh one. Looking ahead to the next 5-10 years, as we aim to become the fifth largest economy, we’re working towards that goal.

Additionally, we’ve enjoyed a remarkably stable economic outlook characterized by nearly 60 years of uninterrupted macroeconomic stability, with average annual growth exceeding 5% of our GDP over the entire period. For example, in 2025, we are expected to grow at a rate of 5%, similar to the growth rate in 2024. That would be more than double the Latin American average expected. And the world is expected to grow by 3% so that we will increase by 5%. So, it’s higher than the world average as well.

We also have a very stable political climate, political stability that we enjoyed for almost the same period, no matter what type of government comes into and takes over government. No more of the ideology; it doesn’t matter. Economically, it’s always seen from any idea to maintain it. We also have judicial stability, which is very important for investors to look into the Dominican Republic, which brings social stability. And from how I started, we’re one of the most stable countries in our region, if not the most stable one in every sense.

LATAM FDI: Well, how do the country’s strategic location in the Caribbean and the trade agreements that it has enacted, such as the DR-CAFTA, facilitate access to major markets and foreign investors?

Marcial Smester: Our strategic location is critical because that’s one of our advantages in the Dominican Republic. We are located in the heart of the Americas. We’re an hour and a half by air from Miami, two days to days, and a bit more than half by sea. And that’s from the ports in Santo Domingo, the South. If we take the northern ports, like in Manzanillo, it’s a day and a half to the Port of Miami, more or less. So, we are strategically located. We are not a big country but we are around 40,000 square kilometers. We have a little bit of everything here. It’s not just for tourism; we’re also an industrialized and agricultural nation. And of course, with the trade agreements that we have, first and foremost with the United States, which is our leading trade partner in Central America, the DR CAFTA, things producing the Dominican Republic can enter tariff-free for a majority of products, goods, and services, going into the United States and vice versa. However, we also have the economic protection agreement with the European Union, which is a free trade agreement with Europe, and it’s in the overall sense.

They are also part of the CARICOM for trade within the Caribbean and the CARU Forum, which by extension includes the United Kingdom on its own, where we also have access to free trade with them. We also have a generalized system of preferences for specific products in different countries. We can go as far as Australia and New Zealand from the Dominican Republic, depending on the product or the goods and services that it would be. We also have a separate partial free trade agreement with Panama. We are still working with other free trade agreements or bilateral agreements with other countries, including Middle Eastern countries, which are, as we speak, being reviewed and under development. Within the next few years or decades, we will have amplified trade agreements to reach the world more. For example, out of those free trade agreements that we have ongoing, we have access to over 1.2 billion consumers. So that’s an incredible market for companies to establish themselves in the Dominican Republic and produce, whether they’re goods or services, and take them out to the world.

LATAM FDI: You discussed how the Dominican Republic makes a suitable environment for foreign direct investors. But what specific incentives, such as tax benefits or a special economic zone, does the Dominican Republic provide to encourage foreign investors to come and set up shop in your country?

Marcial Smester: Of course. Before I go into that question, there was something that I left out in the previous question that was important, for example, that we enjoy a robust infrastructure, logistically speaking. We have the Dominican Republic, operate eight international airports, and have twelve commercial ports actively operating in the Dominican Republic. So, in any part of the Dominican Republic where a company wants to establish itself, it will be within reach of an airport or a port within 2-3 hours max. Investors need to know that a ninth airport is being built in the Southwesternmost part of the Dominican Republic, a tourism development zone in Manzanillo. We have six cruise terminals in operation, with a seventh underway in Samana. That contributes to the strategic advantage and logistic superiority that we believe that we have. We have access to 28 or 33 Caribbean islands from the Dominican Republic currently operating and underway. We provide foreign investors by answering your question about our incentives and benefits or special economic zones. The Dominican Republic has a robust legal framework for investors to come into the Dominican Republic.

It depends on the sector. Not all sectors have special incentives, but the top sectors do have them. And I’m going to start, first of all, with one law that will amplify and impact any foreign investor: Law 1695 for foreign investment. That law, first and foremost, guarantees equal treatment to an international investor or a foreign investor as if it were a national or local investor, meaning there’s no discrimination whatsoever. You can form a company here and have it 100% wholly owned by an international company, with headquarters elsewhere in the world, not in the Dominican Republic. You will enjoy those benefits. Plus, it provides liberalization of dividends and repatriation of capital without any retentions whatsoever, plus free currency convertibility. You’re producing pesos because that’s the official currency in the Dominican Republic, the Dominican peso. Nonetheless, when sending it back home, you can change it to US dollars, Canadian dollars, British pounds, the Euro, Japanese Yen, or any currency you seek to change. And there’s no inconvenience on that. It’s free. Also, as an investor, if you establish yourself in the Dominican Republic, the law provides you with residency for investment for your stakeholders.

 In that sense, once you establish yourself in the Dominican Republic. When we go into the sectorial laws, we have several key sectors with interesting incentives. We can go, for instance, to the special economic zones or free zones, as we call them in the Dominican Republic; there’s a particular law, law 890, which provides a lot of incentives. It’s a tax-free regime. Within the free zone or special economic zone regime, you can house many activities as long as you manufacture or export the service because it’s focused on exports. So, any company that can come to the Dominican Republic and establish itself here in the Dominican Republic, produce, and then re-export it out. You have a tax-free system with no corporate income tax, no capital gains tax, no tax on the machinery that you import to produce whatever you’re going to produce and operate, no taxes on the raw materials that you use, whether you buy them in the local market or import them as well, no municipal taxes, no federal taxes whatsoever. So, it’s a tax-free-based system because the key idea of that sector or regime is to improve employment and employ Dominicans.

The key here is that the labor laws require 80 % of the labor force to be Dominican. Then you go into tourism, and tourism has its laws, the CONFOTUR law and law 5803, which provide different incentives for hotel or real estate projects oriented towards tourism. It could also be a hospital but always oriented towards tourism, where you also receive incentives. Tourism, for example, is more restricted during this period because, in economic-free zones, there is a 10-year exemption, but it’s renewable. So, the first company was established here for the free economic zones in 1969, when the original started developing free zones, and companies are still enjoying those incentives today. In tourism, it’s a 15-year period where a project can enjoy, for example, exemption on income tax on local municipalities and royalties taxes, and also all taxes regarding the furniture and anything that has to do with the putting in operation of the hotel or the resort of the project or the real estate development area. So, it has interesting incentives there. Also, you have, for example, La 5707, which is for renewable energy projects. Right now, the Dominican Republic is the number one recipient, not only in the Caribbean and all of Central America, in overall FDI but also the number one recipient in our region’s renewable energy projects and tourism projects.

We continue to be leaders in that. There are some interesting incentives as well. Other laws for other activities have incentives that will make an investment more interesting and an interesting opportunity for investors to come to the Dominican Republic.

LATAM FDI: You spoke much about the country’s political continuity and stability over the last several decades. Regarding the macroeconomic environment, what measures has the Dominican Republic implemented to ensure investors do not experience economic volatility when doing business there?

Marcial Smester: One of the things that we take into heart, and the government takes into heart most, is our central Bank, which establishes the monetary policies to abide by. Within the Dominican Republic, we have the same governor of the Central Bank, who used to be like the chief of the Fed for the United States, Alan Greenspan, which have decades in it. Our chief of Central Bank, the governor, has been running it for decades, which has helped create a very stable environment with the monetary policies issued. We follow a lot of how the United States manages itself, so we are very keen on that, and we follow it. But also, every time the government changes, it doesn’t matter who enters it. One thing that everybody in the government thinks of is that we have to maintain macroeconomic policies and continue the economy. We continue to grow the economy in that sense. So, we must always respect the laws and grant judicial stability for businesses in a business-friendly environment with much government backing and support. That’s how we’ve operated through time. It doesn’t mean we’re perfect and have no flaws because situations arise.

But in general, the Dominican Republic has an incredible business-friendly environment. Its policies, laws, and follow-up on those laws make it a friendly place to invest.

LATAM FDI: You mentioned that many people around the globe appreciate the Dominican Republic for what it offers in terms of tourism, but there are other opportunities for investment in different sectors in terms of FDI. Please tell us a little about those other sectors and give us an example of a success story.

Marcial Smester: Sure. Well, we have a lot of FDI in multiple sectors. I can tell you, for example, as I mentioned in the energy sector, where we have one of the largest corporations in the world, AES Corporation from the United States, which is the largest natural gas operation in the Dominican Republic, currently speaking. We have a lot of renewable energy projects, projects from renowned companies such as Acciona from Spain, STOA from France, Eco Ener from Spain, and many others. AES is also developing some renewable energy projects in the Dominican Republic. Those are very examples of other sectors. For instance, we have critical international entities in the financial industry, such as Scotia Bank from Canada, City Bank from the United States, and many others. In the mining sector, it’s imperative. We have significant projects in mining, such as Barrick Corporation from Canada and the United States, which operates the fourth largest gold mining operation in the world, right here in the Dominican Republic, among others. For example, we have many international companies in the manufacturing sector, especially in the last few years, and they abide by the free zone regime, but in the manufacturing aspect, for example, medical devices.

The Dominican Republic has become a hub for medical devices in our region, medical device companies. We currently host eight of the world’s largest medical device output companies, including Medtronic from the United States. We have an issue cabin from Germany. We have Rockwell Automation, which does electrical parts. We have Color Hammer, which is also named Eaton, and it is also for electrical parts. We are the third largest exporter worldwide of circuit breakers, for example. You might not have known that we are the largest exporter of circuits to the United States in that fashion. We have many important companies established here in the Dominican Republic in different sectors and areas, taking advantage of the incentives and amenities the Dominican Republic offers.

LATAM FDI: You mentioned at the beginning of this discussion that the country is doing a lot to fortify its position in terms of a logistics hub. You talked about airports; you spoke of ports. But I’d like to ask you about the human infrastructure now. What advantages does the Dominican Republic offer to potential investors regarding human resources?

Marcial Smester: Well, compared to the countries in our region, we have a very good-sized population. Right now, as a non-English-speaking country, because our official language is Spanish, we are the second country with the highest English proficiency in our region of Central America and the Caribbean. So, we have a lot of people. For example, during the past four years, the government has backed up an English Immersion program, which yielded over 80,000 potential candidates with English-speaking skills. Aside from that, we have also hosted a lot of VPOs in centers in the Dominican Republic with excellent English speaking skills and pronunciation that is understandable and Americanized in that sense. For example, we have a vast labor force from universities every year. For instance, we have, during the past four years, over 9900 ICT graduates. We have almost 54,000 business and economic sciences professionals who have graduated in the past four years. We have nearly 16,000 engineering professionals and over 35,000 health professionals, including doctors, nurses, etc. We have more than fifty higher education centers, plus our top universities right now have links and associations with the top colleges and universities worldwide, such as Harvard, MIT, Stanford, Oxford, Cambridge, the UK, and so on.

Plus, the more Before we continue to go on in time, for example, for the regular workforce, every time it’s more highly skilled. For example, when I mentioned medical devices, let me go back. Initially, our free zones or special economic zones were textiles. From 1969 to almost 2002, over 80 % of production was textile, which is very basic, right? However, a plan structured public and private sectors together to develop higher-scale activities within the special economic free zones and highly-skilled manufacturing. We started operating the medical device and electrical parts sectors, which are very developed today. We are one of the top two countries in our region, bringing in companies to establish medical devices. That requires a more highly skilled, capable labor force because it’s more technologically advanced, plus the health and hygiene that you need to apply to this type of company because of the products and items they produce and manufacture. So, our workforce is very highly skilled. In the Americas, for example, the United States deemed us one of the top countries to be looked at, and we have, for example, four semiconductor manufacturers in the future.

After that, we will be one of the countries that can provide semiconductor manufacturing. We will start because we are ready for the ATP aspect, assembly, and packaging. But of course, we want to develop and acquire the knowledge of the technology required to do other parts of the processing and manufacturing in time, of course, because that will take time. It will likely take a decade or so to reach where we need to be. However, we also focus on automotive manufacturing, starting with assembly, because we have the capability. That will also provide a more highly skilled labor force in the future. We are attracting companies to come here and establish themselves because of the logistical and location advantages that we have right now. However, we are coordinating as a country and the public and private sectors to open up new industries and activities. For example, there’s a plan from the government for the next 12 years, by 2036, to duplicate our GDP in the overall sense.

And that means it’s not only small agricultural products; we must bring more advanced and highly skilled industries into the Dominican Republic. And that means, at the same time, that we have to transform our labor force and continue to develop a more highly skilled labor force in the overall sense to provide this for investors to come in. If there’s a new industry, of course, the investors that come in will be ground-breakers, and they will have to help with the know-how and teach that, and then we replicate it overall. There’s a particular institution from the government called Infotec, which is a technical formation for professional institutes. And that institute, everybody in the Dominican Republic, that’s a fee that every company pays for all employees. And that is to subsidize that institution so they can train the entire labor force for all companies in the Dominican Republic.

LATAM FDI: One thing that struck me was the speed with which the Dominican Republic entered higher levels and higher requirements for manufacturing. You mentioned that everything was textiles up to about two thousand, and then you diversified into several other industries. If I, as a manufacturer, would like to look at working in the Dominican Republic, I have two questions that generally get asked. Number one, for direct labor, what is the fully loaded cost, generally speaking, in the industry for direct labor?

Marcial Smester: Well, it depends on the activity in the sector. But even in a free zone, the cost is not that high. The minimum salary would go around $400 a month overall. It could be less, depending on the skillset. It’s around… I don’t have the exact figure, but it’s around $400 a month. Companies pay slightly more depending on their employee scale, but there’s a scale. However, we are one of the most competitive countries in terms of the labor force, even with our skill set. What was the other question?

LATAM FDI: Well, the other question that always comes up is within the first five minutes of discussions that I have with potential investors. In addition to the labor cost, they’ll typically ask, what’s the cost, either per square meter or per square foot of grade A industrial space?

Marcial Smester: Okay. Depending on the industrial park, for example, in our special economic zones or free zones, there are different tiers of parks. The majority of the parks right now, for example, the closing of 2024, have ninety-one industrial parks in operation, whereas seventy-one are privately owned. Now, depending on the tier, for example, the top tier parks that we have in the Dominican Republic that have everything and provide every type of service to a company, especially those that were most medical device manufacturers, are established because they have the best facilities, let’s say. The square meter lease would go for around $7.50 and $8 a square meter, more or less. It all depends on where you’re located. If you go to, let’s say, a tier three park still privately owned, the price drops down to $450, more or less, per square meter. But you have fewer facilities or services that the park will provide for you. It’s not as beautiful or as pretty as a tier one, but it has more ambiance and is different. But you always have the essential services and a customs office there to help with the merchandise going out.

But yes, it depends on the tier of the park, but you can go as high as, let’s say, $8 a square meter, a little bit less than $8 a square meter. From the last time, I saw the numbers, you could go as low as if you go to a tier five park, which is more of the public sector park available, handled by an institution in the government called Austria, and it will go as low as 250 per square meter, for example, the least, and maybe even negotiable. So, it all depends. But the lower the tier of the park, the more expensive it is. Tier one is the most expensive park; with every type of service you might think of. Some come included in the arrangement, and others are marginal, which you might decide to select. Parks, for example, help you. The private parks mainly help you with the hiring or the least profiling of the personnel you need. And they already have a database for personnel they’ve interviewed, even though you can have your own human resources department. Nonetheless, if you want the park to do everything for you, then you arrange it with the park, and they can handle all your administrative and human resources departments as a company.

However, they help out nonetheless as a minimum service they agree with.

LATAM FDI: This conversation has been very educational over the last 20 minutes. In addition to the questions I ask, after individuals listen to these podcasts, they have questions that come to me. But what I like to do is to make those questions go to the speaker directly. So, if somebody has a question after listening to this information, what communication can they get into with you? Do you have an email address they could use to contact you?

Marcial Smester: Sure. I’ll provide you with my email address; they can contact me directly. Whenever they have a question, they access it, and I’ll connect them with my team to further those conversations. But we’re open to it. We work here 24/7. We’re available. We might not get back to you quickly, but we will reply as soon as possible. You also have my WhatsApp number. In any case, they can contact me that way as well. And we can answer and reply and start a conversation. But we welcome anybody and everybody who wants to take a look at the Dominican Republic to explore. We cordially invite all your listeners to hear what we’re saying and explore and feel it independently because it’s different. I can say many marvelous things about the Dominican Republic. I can show you in a presentation, but to feel and grasp it in real-time is a different story, and it’s even better.

LATAM FDI: Instead of going to see you physically, I’m sure that you have a website. Do you have one? And what would that address be?

Marcial Smester: Yes, our website is www.prodominicana.gob.do

LATAM FDI: Okay, we’ll include that in the transcript section of this podcast. If it’s okay with you, I’ll include a link to your LinkedIn profile. Would that be okay?

Marcial Smester: That’d be okay. Perfect.

LATAM FDI: Thank you very much for joining us this morning. The Dominican Republic has been on my list of places to visit, and hopefully, I’ll get a chance to visit you there.

Marcial Smester: I look forward to welcoming you, hosting you, and showing you around. Please do.

LATAM FDI: Thank you very much.

A Comprehensive Look at Economic Development in El Salvador

A Comprehensive Look at Economic Development in El Salvador

El Salvador, Central America’s smallest and most densely populated country, has made significant strides in enhancing its economic performance and regional competitiveness in recent years. While it still faces various challenges, efforts to improve infrastructure, foster innovation, and integrate with the global economy are reshaping the nation’s development trajectory. This blog post provides a comprehensive assessment of economic development in El Salvador, analyzing crucial variables such as natural resources, human capital, infrastructure, technological development, public institutions, and more.

Natural Resources: A Modest but Strategic Asset

El Salvador’s natural resource base is modest compared to its neighbors. The country has limited mineral wealth and is not a major oil or natural gas player. However, fertile volcanic soils make agriculture viable, particularly coffee, sugarcane, and corn. Hydroelectric and geothermal resources also contribute to the energy matrix, making El Salvador a leader in renewable energy use within the region. Although not abundant, the sustainable use of these resources plays a critical role in El Salvador’s economic development.

Human Capital: A Dynamic and Evolving Workforce

Human capital is central to El Salvador’s growth strategy. The country boasts a youthful population, with over 50% of its citizens under 30. While emigration has led to brain drain in some sectors, remittances from the diaspora have funded education and local entrepreneurship. The government and private sector have invested in technical training programs and bilingual education to prepare the workforce for global service industries, such as customer support and IT outsourcing. Continued education and skills training investment is vital to sustaining El Salvador’s continued economic development.

Infrastructure: Gradual Improvements and Strategic Projects

Infrastructure development has picked up pace in recent years. Expanding road networks, modernizing ports such as Acajutla, and improving airport facilities have enhanced connectivity and logistics. Initiatives like the “Surf City” project aim to boost tourism infrastructure, while industrial parks and free trade zones support manufacturing. However, urban congestion and outdated water and sanitation systems remain concerns. Comprehensive infrastructure upgrades are key to unlocking the full potential of development in El Salvador.

Technological Development: Growing but Uneven

The digital transformation in El Salvador is progressing but unevenly distributed. Internet penetration has increased, especially in urban areas, and mobile connectivity is widespread. The government has promoted digital literacy and e-government platforms. In a bold move, El Salvador became the first country to adopt Bitcoin as legal tender in 2021, seeking to encourage fintech innovation and attract crypto investors. However, broader technological adoption in agriculture and industry still lags. Expanding tech access to rural areas is essential to inclusive economic development in El Salvador.

Quality of Public Institutions: Reforms and Criticisms

The effectiveness and transparency of public institutions are critical to economic performance. Under President Nayib Bukele, there has been a push to centralize authority, which some observers view as threatening democratic checks and balances. At the same time, government efficiency has improved in areas like digital services, security, and regulatory enforcement. While the country has made gains in curbing gang violence, ongoing concerns about judicial independence and governance must be addressed to sustain confidence in El Salvador’s economic development.

Economic Policies: Pro-Market Reforms with a Populist Flavor

El Salvador has traditionally followed market-friendly economic policies, including trade liberalization, fiscal discipline, and investment promotion. Recently, the government has introduced new policies aimed at financial inclusion and crypto adoption, including creating the “Bitcoin City” project. Additionally, efforts have been made to reduce red tape and simplify tax compliance for small businesses. While these measures have attracted international attention, the long-term impact of cryptocurrency policies remains uncertain. Balanced and predictable policy frameworks are crucial for economic development in El Salvador.

Level of Industrialization: Light Manufacturing and Service Sector Growth

El Salvador has a growing light manufacturing sector with strengths in textiles, apparel, plastics, and food processing. The country’s strategic location and access to the U.S. market through CAFTA-DR make it attractive for nearshoring. However, industrial diversification is still limited. The services sector has become increasingly important, especially in call centers, IT services, and tourism. Further industrialization—particularly in high-value-added sectors—would enhance development in El Salvador and provide more resilient sources of growth.

Access to Capital and Credit: Improving but Limited

Access to financing remains a barrier for many entrepreneurs and small businesses. While the formal banking sector is stable and regulated, only a fraction of the population can access formal credit. Microfinance institutions and fintech startups are helping bridge this gap, but interest rates remain high. The government has launched initiatives to promote financial inclusion, but broader financial system reform is necessary to facilitate equitable economic development in El Salvador.

Geographic Location: A Competitive Advantage

El Salvador’s strategic location in Central America, with proximity to the United States and major shipping routes, gives it a natural logistical advantage. The country’s Pacific coast enables trade with Asia, and its participation in regional and global trade agreements enhances its market reach. With the right investments in infrastructure and customs efficiency, geography can be further leveraged to support economic development in El Salvador.

Demographics: Youthful Energy with Migration Challenges

El Salvador’s youthful population is a double-edged sword. On the one hand, it offers a growing labor force; on the other, high youth unemployment and underemployment risk social instability. Emigration to the U.S. remains high, though remittances now account for over 20% of GDP and support domestic consumption and investment. Retaining talent through better job creation policies will be essential for sustainable economic development in the country.

Cultural and Social Factors: Strong Community Networks and Emerging Entrepreneurial Spirit

Cultural resilience and strong family ties have enabled Salvadorans to weather economic and political hardships. A growing entrepreneurial culture—fueled partly by returnees and remittance-funded businesses—has created new opportunities, especially in tourism, food services, and digital enterprises. Social challenges, including income inequality and gender disparities, must be addressed to ensure inclusive national economic development.

Global Economic Integration: Trade and Diaspora Links

El Salvador is a member of several international economic organizations and has free trade agreements with key partners, including the United States, Mexico, and the European Union. The CAFTA-DR agreement has boosted exports and investment, particularly in textiles. Additionally, the Salvadoran diaspora forms a critical link to the global economy through remittances, knowledge exchange, and cross-border entrepreneurship. Enhancing these global ties supports broader economic development in El Salvador.

Environmental Sustainability: An Emerging Priority

Environmental sustainability is increasingly recognized as central to long-term development. El Salvador is vulnerable to natural disasters such as earthquakes, hurricanes, and floods. Deforestation and water scarcity are also pressing concerns. The government has implemented reforestation programs and is promoting renewable energy. Environmental regulations are being strengthened, but enforcement remains inconsistent. Prioritizing green growth strategies is vital to sustainable economic development in El Salvador.

Political Stability and Security: A Work in Progress

Security has long been a significant challenge for El Salvador. However, the government’s controversial “mano dura” (iron fist) approach has significantly dropped homicide rates, improving investor confidence. Still, concerns about authoritarianism and the erosion of democratic institutions persist. Maintaining security while upholding human rights and political freedoms is critical to the legitimacy of economic development in the Central American nation.

Innovation and Entrepreneurship: Building Momentum

Innovation and entrepreneurship are rising in El Salvador, driven by youth-led startups, diaspora engagement, and public-private partnerships. Government programs like CONAMYPE and initiatives like Startup El Salvador encourage new business development, especially in the tech sector. Co-working spaces, accelerators, and access to global mentors are becoming more common. To accelerate economic development in El Salvador, continued support for innovation ecosystems and R&D investment is essential.

Conclusion: Toward a Resilient and Inclusive Future

Both promise and complexity mark El Salvador’s path to economic development. The country has many assets, from its strategic geographic position to its growing service sector and digital ambitions. However, achieving sustained, inclusive, and resilient growth requires confronting structural challenges, particularly in education, financial access, environmental sustainability, and governance.

Future efforts must focus on:

  • Enhancing educational systems and workforce training
  • Expanding access to capital for SMEs and entrepreneurs
  • Strengthening public institutions and democratic norms
  • Investing in sustainable infrastructure and green energy
  • Promoting innovation through public-private partnerships

El Salvador can make meaningful progress toward a more prosperous and equitable society by capitalizing on its youthful population, improving its business climate, and deepening global integration. The future of the country’s economic development lies not just in policy and investment but in the creativity, resilience, and determination of its people.

Navigating Trump’s New Tariffs: Challenges and Opportunities for Central America, Panama, and the Dominican Republic

Navigating Trump’s New Tariffs: Challenges and Opportunities for Central America, Panama, and the Dominican Republic

The recent shifts in U.S. trade policy under the Trump administration have introduced a wave of uncertainty in global markets. The imposition of a 25% tariff on all imports originating from Canada, Mexico, and China represents a significant challenge for businesses worldwide. Additionally, the looming threat of further tariff increases on other economies creates an atmosphere of insecurity. However, this shifting trade environment also presents opportunities for Central America, Panama, and the Dominican Republic—economies that maintain substantial trade ties with the United States.

While the official objective behind these tariffs is to protect domestic industries within the U.S., the impact extends far beyond American borders. These policies disrupt supply chains, raise operational costs, and pressure profit margins across multiple sectors, including advanced manufacturing, logistics, and retail. Nevertheless, amid these challenges, businesses in Central America have opportunities to adapt, mitigate risks, and enhance their competitiveness in the international trade arena.

Impact on Businesses and the Regional Economy

For businesses that rely on the United States as their primary export market, absorbing or passing on the increased costs of tariffs to customers presents a significant hurdle to maintaining competitiveness. The industries most affected include manufacturing, automotive, technology, and textiles, where additional costs could substantially squeeze profit margins.

Despite these challenges, opportunities exist for Central American countries and businesses that strategically position themselves to strengthen their role in global trade. By implementing well-planned measures, companies can minimize the impact of these tariffs while simultaneously exploring new avenues for growth and market expansion.

Short-Term Measures to Address Tariff Challenges

In the immediate term, businesses must adopt agile and practical strategies to mitigate the financial strain caused by the new tariffs:

  • Review and Renegotiate Supplier Contracts: Seeking better pricing agreements and sourcing alternatives within the region can help reduce costs and maintain profitability.
  • Refine Product Pricing and Value Strategies: Evaluating changes in packaging, labeling, and logistics can optimize tariff classifications and potentially lower duty costs.
  • Leverage Existing Trade Agreements: Taking full advantage of preferential tariff structures within current trade agreements can help cushion the impact of increased U.S. tariffs.

Medium- and Long-Term Strategies to Strengthen Regional Trade

Beyond short-term adjustments, companies should also implement broader strategies to restructure their supply chains and navigate the evolving landscape of international commerce.

Optimizing Product Origin and Tariff Classification

A detailed analysis of product classification and origin can unlock opportunities for Central America by allowing businesses to take advantage of existing trade agreements more. Understanding these classifications can be crucial in restructuring production models and enhancing regional competitiveness in global markets.

Restructuring Supply Chains for Greater Resilience

Exploring friendshoring and nearshoring opportunities within the region presents an effective strategy to mitigate costs and reduce exposure to tariff risks. Companies can lower operational expenses and create a more resilient supply network by strengthening regional production and trade links among Central America, Panama, and the Dominican Republic.

Maximizing Special Trade Regimes

Central America, Panama, and the Dominican Republic boast well-established free trade zones, offering businesses fiscal incentives and operational benefits. Taking full advantage of these regimes can help companies optimize costs while ensuring sustainable growth in an increasingly challenging trade environment.

Renegotiating Agreements and Adjusting Pricing Models

In response to shifting tariff structures, businesses must develop innovative pricing strategies that efficiently distribute additional costs. Companies can sustain their competitive edge in the international marketplace by reevaluating pricing structures and negotiating improved terms with suppliers.

Expanding into New Markets

Reducing reliance on the U.S. market is critical for ensuring long-term sustainability. By exploring emerging markets in Europe, Asia, and other regions, businesses can unlock fresh opportunities for Central America and diversify their export destinations. This approach enhances resilience and stabilizes the area amid global trade fluctuations.

Turning Challenges into Opportunities

Businesses in Central America, Panama, and the Dominican Republic must act swiftly and strategically to navigate the challenges posed by these new tariffs effectively. By conducting thorough impact analyses, restructuring supply chains, and leveraging trade incentives, companies can transform obstacles into avenues for growth.

Amid this evolving trade landscape, the region stands poised to strengthen its role as a key alternative for manufacturing and international trade. By focusing on well-planned strategies, businesses will mitigate risks and capitalize on opportunities for Central America to enhance its position in the global economy. Through adaptability and proactive measures, the region can attract investments, foster economic resilience, and drive sustainable development in the face of changing trade policies.