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What to expect from Latin America and the Caribbean in 2024

What to expect from Latin America and the Caribbean in 2024

Optimism in 2024 and moving forward

There is no shortage of reasons for optimism for Latin America and the Caribbean in 2024. For example, consider a couple of topics. The first is demographics. The region’s population is still relatively young, and the population peak is expected to occur in four to five decades of the present century. This fact has potentially significant implications for investment, consumption, and competitiveness. The second issue is productivity. The region’s productivity could be structurally higher, but there is room for it to significantly increase.

Now, consider economic policy. Like other regions, Latin America and the Caribbean (LAC) were also exposed to the disruption of global value chains during the pandemic years. However, prudent monetary management led to exemplary inflation control, with rates substantially lower and less persistent than in advanced countries. Furthermore, there is something virtuous about the region’s prudent macroeconomic management, which has largely been maintained even amid changes in political orientation in governments.

Decarbonization can be an opportunity for Latin America and the Caribbean in 2024

But the region’s attractions go beyond that. Unlike any other, it has enormous potential to become a great driver of solutions for decarbonization and food scarcity. Compared to advanced countries, the sustainability agenda is not a wedge that divides the political debate. On the contrary, a point of convergence in public policy formulation has helped expand and accelerate these agendas.

The growing global need to accelerate decarbonization creates enormous space for influence for Latin America and the Caribbean in 2024. Consider ‘powersharing, ‘the business strategy of geographically locating production associated with the availability of green, safe, affordable, and abundant energy. The region has the cleanest electricity grid in the world – Uruguay and Paraguay, for example, have almost 100% green electricity matrixes, and Brazil’s is 85% green. At the same time, the global average is only a fraction of that, which makes the region attractive for energy-intensive industrial investments.

The region has enormous potential for producing green hydrogen (H2V) at competitive costs. It has large reserves of essential critical minerals for the new economy, such as lithium, copper, nickel, graphite, silicon, rare earths, high-grade iron ore, and many other minerals. It is rich in freshwater, varied biomes, and forests. It has gigantic potential for the bioeconomy, many fertile lands still available, a lot of biomass, an incomparable potential to participate and expand the carbon market, and is a world leader in technologies, business models, and biofuel production. Latin America and the Caribbean in 2024 is also a natural candidate to participate in the geographical diversification of manufacturing production associated with the construction of resilience networks against extreme climate phenomena and has been the target of nearshoring and friendshoring strategies, relocating industrial plants that were previously located in Asia to serve the US and European markets.

With this unique set of attributes, the region can produce industrial goods with far fewer emissions than advanced countries and an unparalleled time-to-market and cost structure. Agriculture, in turn, can significantly expand production while advancing sustainable and regenerative technologies, using degraded lands and other environmentally friendly techniques. Powershoring is already attracting investment, including sectors such as steel, green hydrogen (H2V), cement, paper and pulp, fertilizers, SAF, glass, ceramics, chemicals, and others that need to decarbonize to protect business competitiveness and meet environmental compliance.

And consider geopolitics. Unlike other regions, Latin America and the Caribbean are shielded from many of the most complex issues, providing space to pragmatically explore trade and investment opportunities. This issue is not minor. After all, geopolitics increasingly determines the location of investments.

Value addition is critical for the realization of regional potential

The region presents itself to the world as a source of solutions to significant issues, and all of this can lay the foundations for more sustainable and sustained growth. However, for the region to realize its full potential, it will be necessary to focus on value addition, ensuring that international markets function properly, and address unilateral protectionist measures, subsidies, the imposition of rules, standards, certifications, and other barriers. Tariffs can neutralize the environmental comparative and competitive advantages of LAC.

According to IMF estimates, the region is expected to grow modestly in 2024. Still, at a much higher rate than advanced countries, the gap with the average for emerging countries is decreasing. It would not be surprising, as has happened recently if the growth recorded is more significant than expected. Despite the global decline in Foreign Direct Investment (FDI), the region’s relative and absolute participation in FDI has been increasing. It increased from 9% of the total in 2021 to 16% in 2022, and projections indicate further increases in the coming years. Even in a complex fiscal and international context, some countries in the region have seen an improvement in risk indicators, and several of the largest global fund managers are already increasing their exposure in LAC.

Despite the difficulties faced by Latin America and the Caribbean in 2024, there is evidence that the region will be better this year, and the future winds should continue to blow favorably. It is up to governments, the private sector, banks, and multilateral organizations of Latin America and the Caribbean to do their part to help turn the region’s potential into reality.

The Economy of Bogotá: A Driving Force in Colombia’s Prosperity

The Economy of Bogotá: A Driving Force in Colombia’s Prosperity

Bogotá, Colombia’s vibrant and bustling capital, is a key player in shaping the economic landscape of the entire South American nation. As the primary economic player in Colombia, the economy of Bogotá boasts a diverse range of industries, attracting significant domestic and foreign companies, supported by a robust educational infrastructure. In this blog post, we will delve into the significance of Bogotá’s economy, exploring the industries that thrive within the city, the major contributors to its economic health, the educational institutions shaping its workforce, and the enticing opportunities it presents for foreign direct investment.

Industries Shaping the Economy of Bogotá

Bogotá’s economy is characterized by its diverse industrial base, contributing significantly to Colombia’s overall economic health. The city is a hub for various sectors, with services, manufacturing, and technology playing pivotal roles. The financial services sector, including banking and insurance,  also stands out as a cornerstone of Bogotá’s economy, with the city hosting the headquarters of major Colombian financial institutions. Among them are:

  • Bancolombia
  • Grupo Aval
  • Banco de Bogotá
  • Banco Davivienda
  • Banco Popular
  • Banco GNB Sudameris

Manufacturing is another crucial pillar of the economy of Bogotá, encompassing a wide array of industries such as textiles, pharmaceuticals, and automotive. Bogotá’s strategic location and well-developed transportation infrastructure make it an ideal center for manufacturing and distribution activities. Below is  a small sample of the many domestic and foreign manufacturers that have a presence in Bogotá:

Domestic Manufacturers

  • Bavaria: This Colombian brewing giant is the second-largest beer company in Latin America and the eighth-largest globally. Bavaria is best known for its Aguila beer brand, but it also produces a variety of other beers, malts, and soft drinks.
  • Grupo Corona: Another major Colombian brewery, Grupo Corona, is the world’s 15th largest beer company. It produces beers such as Poker, Aguila Light, and Club Colombia, as well as soft drinks and bottled water.
  • Cementos Argos: This Colombian cement company is one of the largest in the Americas, operating in 18 countries. Cementos Argos produces various cement products, including concrete, lime, and other building materials.
  • Grupo Empresarial Colombiano (Grupo Nutresa): This Colombian food conglomerate is one of the largest in the Andean region. Grupo Nutresa produces various food products, including meat, poultry, bakery goods, pasta, and snacks.
  • Grupo Sura: This Colombian financial services company is one of the largest in Latin America. Grupo Sura offers a variety of banking, insurance, and investment products.

Foreign Manufacturers

  • 3M: This American multinational conglomerate manufactures various products, including adhesives, abrasives, medical supplies, and electronics. 3M has a large manufacturing facility in Bogotá.
  • Danone: This French multinational food company manufactures dairy products, bottled water, and baby food. Danone has a large manufacturing facility in Bogotá.
  • PepsiCo: This American multinational food and beverage company manufactures various products, including snacks, soft drinks, and bottled water. PepsiCo has a large manufacturing facility in Bogotá.
  • Pfizer: This American multinational pharmaceutical company manufactures various drugs and vaccines. Pfizer has a large manufacturing facility in Bogotá.
  • Siemens: This German multinational conglomerate manufactures various products, including electronics, power generation equipment, and medical equipment. Siemens has a large manufacturing facility in Bogotá.
  • General Motors (Chevrolet): They have a significant plant in Bogotá, responsible for assembling models like the Chevrolet Spark, Chevrolet Sail, and Chevrolet NHR Truck. This makes them a major player in the Colombian automotive market.
  • Colmotores (Renault, Nissan, Suzuki): This alliance also operates a large plant in Bogotá, assembling popular models like the Renault Logan, Sandero, Stepway, and Duster, and Nissan March and Suzuki Swift.

    Information technology and telecommunications have also experienced rapid growth, positioning the economy of Bogotá as a technological hub in Latin America. The city’s commitment to innovation has attracted major tech companies, fostering a dynamic startup ecosystem and contributing to the digital transformation of various industries.

Educational Infrastructure and Workforce Development

Bogotá’s economic success is intrinsically tied to its well-educated and skilled workforce. The city boasts a robust educational infrastructure with numerous universities, technical institutes, and research centers. Institutions like the Universidad de los Andes and the National University of Colombia are renowned for their contributions to various fields, supplying the labor market with highly qualified professionals.

The emphasis on science, technology, engineering, and mathematics (STEM) education has driven Bogotá’s emergence as a technological and innovation hub. The close collaboration between academia and industry ensures that the workforce is equipped with the latest skills and knowledge demanded by the evolving job market.

Opportunities for Foreign Direct Investment

The economy of Bogotá presents many opportunities for foreign direct investment, attracting investors from around the globe. The city’s strategic location, well-established infrastructure, and favorable business climate make it a sought-after destination for international businesses seeking to expand their operations in Latin America.

Foreign investors can tap into Bogotá’s diverse sectors, from finance and manufacturing to technology and renewable energy. The Colombian government has implemented policies to facilitate foreign investment, offering incentives and streamlined processes to encourage businesses to establish a presence in the city.

In conclusion, Bogotá stands as a powerhouse in Colombia’s economic landscape, driving growth and innovation across various industries. The city’s diverse industrial base, coupled with the presence of major domestic and foreign companies, creates a dynamic and resilient economy. Supported by a robust educational infrastructure, Bogotá’s workforce is well-equipped to meet the demands of a rapidly evolving global market. As Bogotá continues to position itself as a hub for innovation and investment, the city’s role in shaping Colombia’s economic prosperity will strengthen in the coming years.

 

An overview of key economic sectors in Paraguay

An overview of key economic sectors in Paraguay

Paraguay is a landlocked nation in South America. Several key economic sectors in Paraguay are driving the country’s economic growth. This blog post offers an authoritative overview of the most prominent sectors in the Paraguayan economy, highlighting specific businesses and activities within each sector, along with employment levels and gross domestic product (GDP) participation percentages.

Agriculture

Activities & Businesses: Agriculture is one of the key economic sectors in Paraguay. It has a focus on soybeans, beef, and other agricultural products. Major companies in the Paraguayan agricultural sector include:

  • Cargill: A global agricultural and food company, Cargill has a substantial presence in Paraguay, particularly in the soybean sector.
  • Louis Dreyfus Company (LDC): Another major player in the global agricultural sector, LDC is involved in the production, processing, and distribution of various agricultural products in Paraguay, including soybeans.
  • ADM (Archer Daniels Midland): ADM is a global leader in agricultural processing and operates in Paraguay, primarily focusing on soybean processing.
  • Bunge: Bunge is involved in the production, processing, and trading of agricultural commodities, including soybeans, in Paraguay.
  • Itaipu Agroindustrial: A significant agricultural company in Paraguay, Itaipu Agroindustrial is involved in producing and processing various agricultural products.
  • Grupo Los Grobo: A leading agricultural company in South America, Grupo Los Grobo operates in Paraguay, focusing on producing and processing soybeans and other crops.
  • Dakota: Dakota produces and exports soybeans and other agricultural products in Paraguay.

Employment: Agriculture employs a significant portion of Paraguay’s workforce, with estimates suggesting that it accounts for approximately 25% of total employment.

Participation: Agriculture contributes around 20% to Paraguay’s GDP.

Manufacturing

Activities & Businesses: Another one of the key economic sectors in Paraguay is manufacturing. Paraguay encompasses industries such as food processing, textiles, and automotive assembly. Among the most prominent manufacturers with operations in Paraguay are:

  • Cervepar: A major brewery in Paraguay, Cervepar produces a range of popular beer brands and plays a significant role in the country’s beverage manufacturing sector.
  • Sudameris: A prominent textile company in Paraguay, Sudameris produces textiles and garments, contributing to the country’s textile manufacturing industry.
  • Concret Mix: Engaged in producing construction materials, Concret Mix is a leading company in Paraguay’s construction and manufacturing sector.
  • Frigorífico Neuland: Although it’s a cooperative with local roots, Frigorífico Neuland has gained international recognition for its beef production and meat processing operations.
  • Nissan Paraguay: As a part of the global automotive company Nissan, Nissan Paraguay is involved in automotive assembly and manufacturing in Paraguay, contributing to the country’s automotive industry.
  • Hyundai Paraguay: Similar to Nissan, Hyundai Paraguay represents the global automotive brand Hyundai and is involved in Paraguay’s automotive assembly and manufacturing operations.
  • Unilever Paraguay: A subsidiary of the global consumer goods company Unilever, Unilever Paraguay is engaged in the manufacturing and distributing various consumer products in Paraguay.
  • Kimberly-Clark Paraguay: As a part of the multinational personal care company Kimberly-Clark, the company manufactures and distributes a range of personal care and hygiene products in the country.

Employment: Manufacturing provides employment opportunities for a considerable population segment, accounting for roughly 15% of total employment.

Participation: Manufacturing contributes approximately 20% to Paraguay’s GDP.

Services

Activities & Businesses: Services is one of the key economic sectors in Paraguay. It includes various activities such as retail, telecommunications, and financial services. Among the prominent players in the Paraguayan service sector are:

  • Tigo Paraguay: A leading telecommunications company in Paraguay, Tigo provides a range of services, including mobile and internet services, and has a significant market share in the country’s telecommunications sector.
  • Banco Continental: A prominent bank in Paraguay, Banco Continental offers a comprehensive range of banking and financial services to individuals, businesses, and institutions in the country.
  • Supermercados Stock: A major retail company in Paraguay, Supermercados Stock operates a chain of supermarkets and plays a significant role in the country’s retail sector. Banco Itaú Paraguay: As a part of the global banking group Itaú, Banco Itaú Paraguay offers a wide range of banking and financial services in Paraguay.
  • BBVA Paraguay: BBVA Paraguay, a subsidiary of the multinational financial services company BBVA, provides banking and financial services to individuals and businesses in the country.
  • Scotiabank Paraguay: A part of the global banking group Scotiabank, Scotiabank Paraguay offers banking and financial services in Paraguay, contributing to the country’s financial sector.
  • Telefónica Paraguay (Movistar): As a subsidiary of the global telecommunications company Telefónica, Telefónica Paraguay, operating under the brand Movistar, provides mobile and internet services in Paraguay.
  • Nestlé Paraguay: As a part of the multinational food and beverage company Nestlé, Nestlé Paraguay is involved in the manufacturing, distributing, and selling various food and beverage products in the country.
  • Copa Airlines Paraguay: As a subsidiary of Copa Airlines, Copa Airlines Paraguay operates flights within South America and plays a vital role in Paraguay’s aviation and travel sector.

Employment: The services sector is a major employer in Paraguay, with estimates indicating that it accounts for around 50% of total employment.

Participation: Services contribute the largest share, approximately 55%, to Paraguay’s GDP.

Construction

Activities & Businesses: The construction sector in Paraguay has seen growth in recent years, driven by infrastructure development and urbanization. The following companies are prominent in Paraguay’s construction sector:

  • Concret Mix: A leading construction materials company in Paraguay, Concret Mix is involved in the production and supply of concrete, cement, and other construction materials for various infrastructure and building projects.
  • Tecnoedil: Tecnoedil is a prominent construction company in Paraguay, engaged in the construction of residential, commercial, and industrial projects, including infrastructure and building construction.
  • Construcciones Civiles y Electromecánicas (CCE): CCE is a notable construction company in Paraguay, specializing in civil and electromechanical construction projects, including infrastructure, energy, and water projects.
  • Odebrecht: As a Brazilian multinational construction conglomerate, Odebrecht has operations in Paraguay and has been involved in various infrastructure projects, including roads, bridges, and hydroelectric projects.
  • Acciona: A Spanish multinational company, Acciona is in Paraguay and is involved in various construction projects, including infrastructure, renewable energy, and water projects.
  • Sacyr: Another Spanish multinational company, Sacyr, has operations in Paraguay and is engaged in constructing infrastructure projects, including roads, bridges, and buildings.
  • Tecnoedil Internacional: Although Tecnoedil is originally a domestic company, it has expanded its operations internationally and is involved in construction projects in various countries, including Paraguay.

Employment: Construction employs many people, contributing to approximately 10% of total employment.

Participation: Construction contributes around 10% to Paraguay’s GDP.

Conclusion

There is a diverse mix of key economic sectors in Paraguay. Each contributes to the country’s overall growth and development. While agriculture remains a vital sector, services have emerged as the largest contributor to GDP. Understanding the dynamics and key players in each sector is crucial for investors and policymakers alike as Paraguay continues to position itself as an attractive destination for business and investment.

The industrial sector in Minas Gerais moves the state’s economy

The industrial sector in Minas Gerais moves the state’s economy

From investing in research to creating jobs, the industrial sector in Minas Gerais plays a primary role in the development of the state.

Using an analogy to explain the importance of the industrial sector in Minas Gerais, we can say that its industry is a powerful engine made up of several gears that fit together and rotate ideally to produce the force necessary to turn a vast machine. Industry in Minas Gerais is characterized by the diversification of segments, with highlights being sectors such as food and beverages, fashion, automotive, and mining. Together, they currently form one of the country’s most modern and thriving industrial clusters.

Potential

The strength of the industrial sector in Minas Gerais helps keep the state in a prominent place in Brazil’s national economic development. It results from much work and investments, which can be translated into the numbers that bring a multiplier effect to the economy. According to the Federation of Industries of Minas Gerais (FIEMG), the industrial sector accounts for 58.8% of service and merchandise tax (ICMS) collections. To get an idea of the potential of the industrial sector in Minas Gerais, for every R$1 produced by the state’s industry, R$2.06 is generated in the economy of Minas Gerais.

Generation of work and income

Minas Gerais, a prominent state in Brazil, owes a significant portion of its economic vitality to its robust industrial sector. The state has historically been a powerhouse in Brazil’s industrial landscape, particularly in the mining, metallurgy, and agribusiness sectors. The industrial activities in Minas Gerais generate substantial employment opportunities for its residents and contribute substantially to the state’s gross domestic product (GDP). As of recent data, the industrial sector accounts for a notable percentage of Minas Gerais’ GDP, underscoring its pivotal role in driving economic growth and development. This underscores the symbiotic relationship between the prowess of the industrial sector in Minas Gerais and its overall economic well-being, positioning the state as a vital cornerstone in Brazil’s industrial economy.

With all this economic relevance for the state, the industrial sector also maintains a crucial role in the social development of Minas Gerais, being directly present in many people’s professional growth and lives. Currently, the industrial sector in Minas Gerais employs more than 1.1 million workers, representing, according to the FIEMG, 23.1% of the generation of formal jobs in the state.

Innovation in the industrial sector in Minas Gerais

Responsible for 67% of investments in research and development in the private sector, the industrial sector in Minas Gerais also stands out for its pioneering role in using and studying new technologies. One of the main generators of innovation in the state, the industrial sector of Minas Gerais contributes to the development of the economy and the strengthening and consolidation of the sector as one of the most important for the state’s development.

Minas Gerais has made strides in various research and development (R&D) areas, reflecting its commitment to innovation and technological advancement. Some specific prominent areas of R&D in Minas Gerais include:

Mining Technology

Given its rich mineral resources, research in efficient extraction methods, sustainable mining practices, and mineral processing technologies is paramount.

Agricultural Research

Minas Gerais is an agricultural hub with research focusing on crop optimization, sustainable farming practices, and the development of new agricultural technologies.

Biotechnology and Pharmaceuticals

The state hosts research institutions and companies developing biotechnological products, including pharmaceuticals, biofuels, and bio-based materials.

Information Technology

Minas Gerais has a burgeoning IT sector with R&D activities centered on software development, artificial intelligence, and digital solutions for various industries.

Renewable Energy

With a growing emphasis on sustainability, R&D in Minas Gerais also encompasses renewable energy technologies, including solar, wind, and biomass.

Several prominent organizations and companies in Minas Gerais are at the forefront of R&D activities:

Centro de Desenvolvimento da Tecnologia Nuclear (CDTN): Engaged in nuclear technology research, focusing on applications in medicine, agriculture, and industry.

Universidade Federal de Minas Gerais (UFMG): A leading academic institution conducting research across various disciplines, including engineering, life sciences, and humanities.

Vale S.A.: One of the world’s largest mining companies, headquartered in Minas Gerais, with significant R&D efforts in sustainable mining practices and mineral exploration technologies.

Biominas Brasil: A biotechnology hub that fosters innovation and entrepreneurship in the life sciences sector, supporting startups and R&D initiatives.

SENAI (Serviço Nacional de Aprendizagem Industrial): Offers industries’ R&D services and technical assistance, promoting innovation and technology adoption across sectors.

These organizations and companies, among others, play a crucial role in advancing Minas Gerais’ R&D landscape, driving innovation, and contributing to the state’s economic and technological progress.

Made in Minas Gerais

Located in the heart of Brazil, Minas Gerais is in a strategic position that favors the distribution of what is produced in the state to supply both the Brazilian and international markets. The proximity and ease of access to the main Brazilian ports and airports mean that the mining industry is present in practically all Brazilian states and a large part of the world. According to FIEMG, the segment accounts for 78.8% of Minas Gerais exports of goods and services. It is a force that takes the quality and name of Minas Gerais to the four corners of the planet.

Beyond mining industry products, the other items that the industrial sector in Minas Gerais exports to the world include:

Agricultural Products: Minas Gerais is a significant producer and exporter of agricultural commodities such as coffee, soybeans, corn, dairy products, and sugar. The state’s fertile lands and favorable climate contribute to its agricultural productivity.

Processed Foods: The state has a thriving food processing industry, exporting products like meat, poultry, processed dairy items, confectionery, and various food preparations.

Metallurgical Products: While the mining sector is dominant, Minas Gerais also exports a range of metallurgical products, including iron and steel products, aluminum, and metal alloys.

Textiles and Apparel: The state has a growing textile and apparel industry, exporting various textile products, garments, and accessories to international markets.

Footwear and Leather Products: Minas Gerais is home to a vibrant footwear and leather goods industry, exporting shoes, leather garments, and accessories crafted with traditional craftsmanship and modern design.

Automotive Parts: The state is a significant producer of automotive parts, supplying components to Brazil’s automotive industry and exporting to global markets.

Chemicals and Petrochemicals: Minas Gerais exports a range of chemicals, including fertilizers, industrial chemicals, and petrochemical products, reflecting its diverse industrial base.

Furniture: The state has a well-established furniture industry, exporting various wooden and upholstered furniture products.

These exports showcase Minas Gerais’ economic diversity and its role as a vital contributor to Brazil’s export-oriented sectors. The state’s export prowess extends beyond its borders, forging connections with international markets and contributing to Brazil’s global trade footprint.

Relevance to Brazil

The industrial sector in Minas Gerais represents 10.9% of the added value of the overall Brazilian industrial sector. It employs 11.7% of the total number of workers in the country’s sector, according to data released by FIEMG. To get an idea of the importance of the productive sector in Minas Gerais in the country, for each new job created in the industrial sector in Minas Gerais, 32 new jobs are created in the Brazilian economy. Such numbers attest not only to the economic strength of Minas Gerais but also to its vocation as a highly qualified, competitive, and attractive business environment with growth opportunities for those who want to invest.

Minas Gerais is one of Brazil’s most industrially vibrant states. It plays a pivotal role in the nation’s economic landscape. The state’s dominance in mining, particularly its vast reserves of iron ore, positions Brazil as a global leader in mineral exports. This mineral wealth fuels domestic industries and boosts Brazil’s international trade profile. Minas Gerais is a nucleus for automotive manufacturing, housing major production units that contribute significantly to Brazil’s automotive output. The state’s commitment to innovation is evident in its thriving biotechnology and pharmaceutical sectors, fostering research and development and supplying essential medicines and advancements to the national healthcare system.

Furthermore, Minas Gerais has emerged as a hub for information technology, fostering digital innovation and driving Brazil’s digital transformation. Lastly, with a growing emphasis on sustainability, the industrial sector in Minas Gerais is harnessing its natural resources for renewable energy projects, positioning itself as a key player in Brazil’s transition to cleaner energy sources. Minas Gerais’s industrial prowess collectively underscores its indispensable role in shaping and advancing the broader Brazilian economy.

The effects of the minimum wage increase in Mexico

The effects of the minimum wage increase in Mexico

During the final week of November 2023, the corporate director of economic studies for Latin America at Scotiabank pointed out that “the Mexican economy will maintain its good dynamism at least until the first half of 2024 because the public deficit will focus on consumption, but further onward and with the change of government the progress will be slower.” This statement was given at the same time that the Timely Indicator of Economic Activity, prepared by Mexico’s National Institute of Statistics and Geography (INEGI), disclosed that during October, economic activity decreased by 0.1% compared to the previous month of September. However, when making an annual comparison, the economy would have expanded 2.9% for that month.

Mexico will get a boost from nearshoring

To a large extent, the positive expectation maintained by various analysts is related to nearshoring. The president of the Association of Banks of Mexico declared that due to the relocation of industry supply chains, “Mexico’s exports could experience an increase of between 15 billion and 50 billion dollars for the next four years, but there are several challenges ahead.” On the other hand, in the words of the Secretary of Foreign Affairs, Alicia Bárcena, Mexico still does not understand this phenomenon and the critical opportunity it represents to boost the economy,” which is taken  better advantage of by other nations like Vietnam, for example.” However, it is worth noting that Mexico attracted 5.4 billion dollars in foreign direct investment to manufacture cars and trucks in the first three quarters of 2023. According to data from Mexico’s Ministry of Economy, this amount represents an increase of 67.7% year-on-year and a record high.

At the same time, according to data also from the Ministry of Economy, Mexico attracted 2.7 billion dollars of foreign direct investment in the mining industry in the first three quarters of 2023, the most significant amount in similar periods in the last decade. Finally, it is worth noting that Banco Santander estimated that in just over a year, foreign direct investment in Mexico will exceed the capture of remittances due to the nearshoring phenomenon. After presenting the “Nearshoring Data Monitor,” the bank specified that this dynamic would benefit employment, growth, development, banking, and credit. Despite implementing a minimum wage increase in Mexico at the beginning of 2024, more nearshoring will occur.

The agriculture sector has lost some productivity

The positive FDI figures and their promising impact on developing sectors such as manufacturing, financial services, and automobiles, among others, contrast with the recent data published regarding the primary or agricultural sector. It serves as an example to detail that corn production has not rebounded under the current government and presented a productivity loss between 2018 and 2022. It decreased from 27 million 169 thousand tons to 26 million 553 thousand during that period. In parallel to these figures, in November 2023, it was published that the “2022 Agricultural Census” prepared by the INEGI showed that the high costs of inputs, losses due to inclement weather, decreased sales, and even insecurity are some of the problems facing Mexican agricultural producers.

These data serve to expand the context in which, according to some analysts, the price of tortillas is headed for a new increase during the first months of 2024, also caused “by the transgenic corn war by which Mexican President Lopez Obrador banned genetically modified (GM) corn for human consumption, the increase in the cost of electricity, gas and the maintenance costs of the tortilla machines .”

It will be necessary to review how the abovementioned variables impact employment and consumption in the country. For now, we must be attentive to the minimum wage increase in Mexico that will be implemented in 2024.

The minimum wage increase in Mexico will have both positive and negative effects

The Mexican government has said that the new proposal for a minimum wage increase in Mexico will benefit more than 6.3 million workers. However, analysts also point out that micro and small businesses will be put in an adverse circumstance due to increased labor costs since up to 90% of their employees are compensated at that income level. The questions that must be raised are: How will Mexico better involve the primary sector in the dynamics of integration with the US economy? Will the minimum wage increase in Mexico go hand in hand with increases in the marginal productivity of work and competitiveness? In the international context the country faces, which sectors will benefit most from this situation? Where will it be worth investing in the Mexican economy?

The minimum wage increase in Mexico in 2024 can have multifaceted effects on the country’s economic landscape. On the one hand, an increase may lead to higher business costs, potentially diminishing their competitiveness in domestic and international markets. This could result in reduced foreign investment and a shift of some industries to lower-cost regions. However, from a productivity standpoint, higher wages can incentivize Mexican workers to enhance their skills and output, potentially driving innovation and efficiency in various sectors. Additionally, an uptick in purchasing power among lower-income groups can stimulate domestic consumption, fostering economic growth and reducing income inequality. Thus, while a minimum wage hike may introduce short-term challenges for businesses, its long-term impact on Mexico’s overall economic health depends on a balanced approach that considers both competitiveness and the welfare of its workforce.

The five most promising textile brands in Colombia for 2024

The five most promising textile brands in Colombia for 2024

According to Procolombia figures, the textile industry contributes 9.4% of the industrial GDP and employs more than 600,000 people.

Colombian textile brands have been gaining ground in international and national markets. This circumstance is thanks to their fabrics and clothing quality, avant-garde designs, and the innovation or imposition of new trends. They have become some of the favorites of Colombian consumers. For this reason, despite the nation’s economy’s contraction, Colombia’s textile industry continues to be very strong. According to Procolombia, it contributes 9.4% of the country’s industrial GDP and employs more than 600,000 people.

Additionally, according to the Superintendency of Companies, textile companies moved 14.34 billion Colombian pesos in 2022, and 25 companies were registered among the 1,000 largest in the country, with a combined turnover of 11.5 billion pesos.

In this panorama, five Colombian textile brands are beginning to appear as some of the most promising for 2024. These companies’ positions are not only due to their rankings in the industry but also due to their projections, expansion strategies, growth in sales, and innovation and development. These factors ensure them a position among the options that will be most popular for Colombians and with the greatest projections for growth for next year.

GEF/White Point

The fusion of elegance and comfort defines the GEF/Punto Blanco proposal. With a consolidated history, this is one of the edITED that has conquered the market with garments that go beyond trends, incorporating quality and versatility.

The company is a part of the Crystal group, a business entity with approximately US 1.01 billion Colombian pesos in revenues in 2022. This brand currently has 71% of its portfolio production as sustainable, a factor that has been key to attracting consumers increasingly interested in preserving the environment. GE/Punto Blanco aspires to become one of the most sustainable fashion companies in the Latin American region.

Koach

Koach is one of the textile brands in Colombia that stands as a beacon of innovation in the country’s fashion scene. Its ability to capture emerging trends and translate them into attractive garments has earned the loyalty of consumers eager to capture a contemporary style.

Owned by Permoda, this company is listed as one of the largest in the industry, as its operating income is US 913.7 billion pesos in 2022, which represents a growth of 22.3% compared to the previous year.

Quest

With more than 28 years in the industry, this brand has become one of the leading textile brands in Colombia. The company has stood out for handling high-quality fabrics, its innovation, development, and technology processes, and being a brand that has imposed a masculine trend.

It should be noted that Quest has a presence in more than 70 cities in the country and nearly 150 stores. Thanks to its potential in markets such as Valle del Cauca, Santander, and the Coast. Quest closed 2022 with sales growth of 30% and income of more than 200 billion Colombian pesos.

Their potential for 2024 is because they have built a long-term relationship with their customers under the umbrella of three clothing categories: casual wear, jeans wear, and streetwear. In addition, it should be added that they seek to reach new market segments. This is why they are betting on growth leveraged by a franchise model, international expansion, and a significant boost to their digital channels.

However, what stands out most about this company is that it has 420 points of sale and around 6,000 employees.

Patprimo

This casual fashion icon has established itself as a benchmark for releasing fresh and authentic collections that have resonated with an audience that values authenticity and casual style.

Sixty-five years after being founded, Patprimo closed in 2022 with 134 stores, 126 open in Colombia, 5 more in Ecuador, 2 in Costa Rica, and 1 in Panama. Belonging to the Adotex group, which includes brands such as Facol and Seven, it is estimated to sell almost 1 billion pesos annually. It is ranked 201 among the 1,000 largest companies in the country.

Likewise, this company had the first place in income within the textile industry, with a capital close to US 1.26 billion pesos and a year-on-year increase of 28.08%. However, their current big bet is on a strategy in which they are focused on strengthening consumers’ brand experience and positioning Patprimo as a current and sophisticated fashion alternative.

Studio F

Behind this brand is the renowned STF Group, which also owns ELA. With more than 25 years of experience, this Valle del Cauca company has added new milestones daily. It is not only among the 50 most productive companies in the region. Still, it has also carried out a successful expansion plan that allows it to have more than 520 points of sale between physical stores, e-commerce, and corners, distributed in Colombia, Mexico, Panama, Chile, Puerto Rico, Ecuador, Peru, Guatemala, Honduras, and Curacao.

Additionally, last year, they closed with over $900 billion turnover. This is an amount that its directors assure they plan to surpass by being able to close with a growth of more than 10%; many experts in textile brands in Colombia are confident that it will achieve it. Recently, the company has been readying itself for its arrival in Spain and opening its new store in Bogotá: Studio F Man.

It should be noted that these textile brands in Colombia are witnesses of the present fashion boom in the country and architects of its future.

Colombian textile brands have garnered significant acclaim and popularity throughout Latin America, establishing themselves as regional fashion and textile market leaders. The textile industry in Colombia not only stands as a testament to the country’s rich cultural heritage and craftsmanship but also plays a pivotal role in its economic landscape. Indeed, the sector significantly contributes to Colombia’s manufacturing GDP, underscoring its importance in driving industrial growth. Furthermore, the industry serves as a robust generator of employment opportunities, providing livelihoods to many Colombians and bolstering the nation’s socio-economic fabric.